Analisis del Export-Led Growth hypothesis: Caso Ecuador
Resumo
Uno de los principales debates que ha tenido lugar en las últimas décadas en el ámbito delcomercio internacional ha apuntado a si los países deberían seguir políticas comercialesorientadas a proteger y fortalecer su aparato productivo, o por el contrario, deberíanpromocionar su sector exportador para potenciar un mayor crecimiento económico. Estepaper analiza la relación entre las exportaciones y el PIB mediante una regresión simple usandoel estimador de MCO. Se pone a prueba la Export-Led Hypothesis al realizar un análisis deseries de tiempo con datos trimestrales del año 2001 al 2014 del país Ecuador de las variablesFormación de Capital Bruto, Exportaciones Petroleras y PIB neto de exportaciones. Losresultados comprueban una fuerte relación entre el PIB y las exportaciones, pero demuestrauna relación negativa lo cual pone en evidencia la importancia no sólo de las exportacionesen sí, sino la composición de las mismas.Palavras-chave
exportaciones, crecimiento económico, export-led growth, productividad.
Biografia do Autor
Christian Rosero Barzola
Cecilia Vélez Barros
Orly Carvache Franco
Melissa Rodríguez Herrera
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